These are today’s fantasy baseball targets based on the current data.
The goal is simple: build a strong, balanced lineup by starting with pitching, identifying high-upside team stacks, and then filling in hitters based on matchups and trends.
This is all driven by a system I’m actively testing and refining, with a focus on building consistent, winning lineups over time.
Yesterday’s Results
Cash Line: 108.7
Lineup Score: 187.7
Result: CASHED ✅
Successful day yesterday — finished 1st out of 56 in a $2 double up.
Of course, once I saw the score climbing, the questions started popping up… “What if I had played this lineup in a tournament?”
Looking back at the previous day, if I had dropped this score into the tournament I entered, it would have taken first and paid out $20K.
Woulda, coulda, shoulda.
That’s the nature of the game. You can’t win it if you’re not in it.
Now here’s the real goal with all of this — I’m not chasing a one-time big hit. The plan is to consistently win cash games. If I can win 4 out of 7 days, I’m profitable. It’s not sexy, you’re not hitting a million-dollar payday, but if you know anything about DFS or gambling, realistic expectations live just above 50%.
That said, I’ve been thinking about mixing in some small tournament shots — maybe $1 entries over the next week or so — just to see how things play out. I’ve got some FanDuel bonus cash to work with, so we’ll experiment a bit.
Normally, the approach is one cash lineup and one GPP (tournament) lineup:
- Cash = high floor, beat half the field
- GPP = high ceiling, you need everything to hit
But I’m planning on playing the same lineup in both.
Now, about yesterday’s lineup.
Pitching was the toughest decision. A lot of people would have landed on Framber Valdez, but he got lit up by the Twins. And yeah… MY Twins are actually playing decent right now — sitting at .500 on the season. So I ended up landing on MacKenzie Gore. The big factor in going with him is right now the Mariners are struggling pretty mightily, so I chose that matchup over the others. Clearly that paid off.
Stacks were tricky too. Nothing really jumped off the page. I tried to make Houston work, but it got too expensive and forced too many sacrifices elsewhere.
So I pivoted.
Ended up leaning heavily into Atlanta — and it paid off. Austin Riley and Matt Olson both went over 25 points and carried the core.
And then there was Hunter Goodman…
Dude did everything. Home run, RBIs, walks, stolen base — just one of those complete DFS smash performances.
Now, onto today’s projections.
Take everything with a grain of salt. I’m actively building out a true projection model, but there’s still a lot that needs to be refined. Matchups aren’t fully weighted yet, and there are pieces still coming together.
For now, this is best used for smaller contests, free games, and tracking performance as the system improves.
Today’s Picks
Pitchers
Jack Flaherty – P – DET vs MIN | $9700 | FD: 25.7 | Value: 6.6
Seth Lugo – P – KC vs CWS | $9300 | FD: 23.5 | Value: 5.67
Eduardo Rodriguez – P – ARI vs NYM | $7500 | FD: 21.9 | Value: 8.44
Jeffrey Springs – P – ATH vs NYY | $7800 | FD: 21.6 | Value: 7.46
Mick Abel – P – MIN vs DET | $6700 | FD: 21.0 | Value: 10.0
Stacks
KC – SS – Bobby Witt Jr. | $3500 | FD: 15.8 | Value: 8.87
KC – 3B/2B/OF – Maikel Garcia | $3300 | FD: 11.3 | Value: 6.94
KC – C/1B – Salvador Perez | $2800 | FD: 10.7 | Value: 7.67
KC – 1B – Vinnie Pasquantino | $2800 | FD: 10.3 | Value: 7.43
SD – 3B – Manny Machado | $3100 | FD: 12.7 | Value: 8.12
SD – OF – Fernando Tatis Jr. | $3200 | FD: 12.3 | Value: 7.68
SD – OF – Nick Castellanos | $2400 | FD: 10.9 | Value: 8.89
SD – OF – Jackson Merrill | $3100 | FD: 9.9 | Value: 6.58
DET – OF – Riley Greene | $2800 | FD: 12.1 | Value: 8.53
DET – 2B – Gleyber Torres | $2900 | FD: 11.7 | Value: 8.06
DET – 1B – Spencer Torkelson | $2800 | FD: 10.8 | Value: 7.73
DET – 1B/2B/3B – Colt Keith | $2900 | FD: 8.7 | Value: 6.22
MIA – 2B/SS – Otto Lopez | $3200 | FD: 11.2 | Value: 7.11
MIA – SS/2B – Xavier Edwards | $3400 | FD: 10.8 | Value: 6.52
MIA – OF – Kyle Stowers | $3300 | FD: 9.0 | Value: 5.73
MIA – C/1B – Liam Hicks | $3400 | FD: 7.3 | Value: 4.73
NYM – OF – Juan Soto | $4000 | FD: 16.7 | Value: 8.27
NYM – SS – Francisco Lindor | $3500 | FD: 14.7 | Value: 8.32
NYM – 2B – Marcus Semien | $2800 | FD: 10.9 | Value: 7.81
NYM – SS/3B – Bo Bichette | $2800 | FD: 9.4 | Value: 6.83
Top Overall Hitters
OF – Aaron Judge – NYY vs ATH | $4300 | FD: 17.2 | Value: 7.96
OF – Juan Soto – NYM vs ARI | $4000 | FD: 16.7 | Value: 8.27
SS – Bobby Witt Jr. – KC vs CWS | $3500 | FD: 15.8 | Value: 8.87
OF – Corbin Carroll – ARI vs NYM | $4400 | FD: 15.5 | Value: 7.13
OF – Brent Rooker – ATH vs NYY | $2900 | FD: 14.7 | Value: 9.84
SS – Francisco Lindor – NYM vs ARI | $3500 | FD: 14.7 | Value: 8.32
SS – Elly De La Cruz – CIN vs MIA | $3800 | FD: 14.4 | Value: 7.62
1B – Nick Kurtz – ATH vs NYY | $3400 | FD: 13.8 | Value: 8.08
2B – Ketel Marte – ARI vs NYM | $3100 | FD: 12.9 | Value: 8.23
3B – Manny Machado – SD vs COL | $3100 | FD: 12.7 | Value: 8.12
OF – Fernando Tatis Jr. – SD vs COL | $3200 | FD: 12.3 | Value: 7.68
OF/1B – Cody Bellinger – NYY vs ATH | $3400 | FD: 12.2 | Value: 7.25
OF – Lawrence Butler – ATH vs NYY | $2600 | FD: 12.2 | Value: 9.17
OF – Riley Greene – DET vs MIN | $2800 | FD: 12.1 | Value: 8.53
OF – Byron Buxton – MIN vs DET | $2900 | FD: 11.9 | Value: 8.15
2B – Gleyber Torres – DET vs MIN | $2900 | FD: 11.7 | Value: 8.06
OF/1B/2B – Spencer Steer – CIN vs MIA | $2600 | FD: 11.7 | Value: 8.88
SS – Geraldo Perdomo – ARI vs NYM | $3000 | FD: 11.7 | Value: 7.8
OF – Jordan Beck – COL vs SD | $2500 | FD: 11.5 | Value: 9.06
C – Shea Langeliers – ATH vs NYY | $4200 | FD: 11.4 | Value: 5.71
Top Hitters for Each Position
C – Shea Langeliers – ATH | $4200 | FD: 11.4 | Value: 5.71
C – Salvador Perez – KC | $2800 | FD: 10.7 | Value: 7.67
C – Ben Rice – NYY | $4000 | FD: 10.1 | Value: 5.4
C – Hunter Goodman – COL | $2600 | FD: 10.0 | Value: 7.7
1B – Nick Kurtz – ATH | $3400 | FD: 13.8 | Value: 8.08
1B – Cody Bellinger – NYY | $3400 | FD: 12.2 | Value: 7.25
1B – Spencer Steer – CIN | $2600 | FD: 11.7 | Value: 8.88
1B – Nathaniel Lowe – CIN | $2400 | FD: 10.9 | Value: 8.92
2B – Ketel Marte – ARI | $3100 | FD: 12.9 | Value: 8.23
2B – Gleyber Torres – DET | $2900 | FD: 11.7 | Value: 8.06
2B – Spencer Steer – CIN | $2600 | FD: 11.7 | Value: 8.88
2B – Maikel Garcia – KC | $3300 | FD: 11.3 | Value: 6.94
3B – Manny Machado – SD | $3100 | FD: 12.7 | Value: 8.12
3B – Maikel Garcia – KC | $3300 | FD: 11.3 | Value: 6.94
3B – Jazz Chisholm Jr. – NYY | $2900 | FD: 11.2 | Value: 7.72
3B – Ryan McMahon – NYY | $2600 | FD: 9.8 | Value: 7.6
SS – Bobby Witt Jr. – KC | $3500 | FD: 15.8 | Value: 8.87
SS – Francisco Lindor – NYM | $3500 | FD: 14.7 | Value: 8.32
SS – Elly De La Cruz – CIN | $3800 | FD: 14.4 | Value: 7.62
SS – Geraldo Perdomo – ARI | $3000 | FD: 11.7 | Value: 7.8
OF – Aaron Judge – NYY | $4300 | FD: 17.2 | Value: 7.96
OF – Juan Soto – NYM | $4000 | FD: 16.7 | Value: 8.27
OF – Corbin Carroll – ARI | $4400 | FD: 15.5 | Value: 7.13
OF – Brent Rooker – ATH | $2900 | FD: 14.7 | Value: 9.84